During
my many years of investment advising and personal investing experiences
while helping and training new stockbrokers and individual investors who manage
their own capital with what I am certain they need to
think about, learn, know, do, have, use, forget, and avoid to
advise effectively and to invest wisely I have developed a respect for
and a better understanding of the realities of investing, of the laws of investing,
and of the dynamics of investment advising and investing success: - I
started as a stockbroker with Dean Witter & Co. in San Francisco, California.
- Without
detailing every experience, needless to say, I have seen, said, done, heard, and
thought about it all; all well intentioned—most
smart, but some not so smart.
- Having
'been there' and 'having done that' I did not ever want to revisit
the not so smart portion of 'been there' or 'done that' again.
- Extinction
of the noble and important profession of investment advising, as I know it, is
a distinct possibility because all markets eventually close the inefficiency gaps
between value and price, competent and unqualified, skilled and unskilled, serving
and self-serving, and most of all, good investment advising judgment and management
and bad investment advising judgment and management.
- The
leading indicator of this increasing and expanding trend towards extinction is
the exodus of investors from traditional sources of investment advice to the ever
expanding 'investment advising' Internet where, at worst, they will find
for free what investment advisors offer for fees and commissions as they seek
what is so rare, very hard to find, and priceless; sound investment advice and
disciplined investment judgment and management.
-
I
am not so presumptuous as to suggest that there is but one way to invest in the
financial markets; however, I am certain that there is a critical path to learning
how to advise and how to invest:
- Knowing
that as stockbrokers and investment advisors we can be better, much better, that
we can do better, much better, and that investors deserve more, much more.
- Not
being so presumptuous as to suggest that there is but one way to invest in the
financial markets; however, while at the same time being certain that there is
a critical path to learning how to advise and how to invest; leave out a step,
proceed with greater than necessary investing risks.
- Making
mistakes, observing the mistakes of others, not repeating either, and occasionally
making new mistakes and not repeating them.
Recognizing
that there were and still are many investing tools that detail what needs to be
done establishing and funding goals, analytics; however, there were and
still are no tools that drill down to investing bedrock to address the ongoing
processes that help investment advisors achieve investing objectives for their
clients. Discovering
that investment portfolios
rather than individual investments, at least conceptually, should be the basic
unit of trade. Studying
and learning from those who have achieved investing performance excellence. Distinguishing
between sense and nonsense, sound and unsound, rhetoric and results, and value
that serves vs. self-serving value. Deleting
the investment past, other than as an historical point of interest, as the basis
for advising and for investing; depending
almost exclusively on '20/20 foresight' rather than almost exclusively
on '20/20 hindsight.' Learning
that portfolio management, a 'sense of the markets' and investment timing
contribute as much to investment performance as does investment selection. Concluding
that the failure to thoughtfully define, relentlessly apply, and rigidly enforce
investment selection and management disciplines, rules, and procedures and portfolio
design, management, and performance disciplines, rules, and procedures are the
critical weakest or completely missing investment performance links for most investment
advisors and almost all individual investors who invest for themselves; the primary
reasons why investment advisors and individual investors underperform most market
indexes most of the time. - Designing
and continuously upgrading investing software to help me to process and to manage
what I have learned and to help me to advise effectively and to invest wisely;
organized, efficient, disciplined, and in control.
- After
deciding enough was enough, after deciding 'I'm
as mad as hell and I'm not going to take this anymore!' (Howard
Beale, The Movie Network, 1976),
I resolved to get it right.
- Imagine
an investment advising and investing industry that invested as much in developing
truly skilled investment advisors and sound investing tools as is currently being
invested in product design, promotion, marketing, and sales.
- An
imaginary world, by the way, that you will never see in the real world unless
you choose to create one for yourself; which, for me , is reflected in mhj3.com.
- For
the most part, I had abdicated my greatest assets; the ability and the responsibility
to take direct and personal control of managing investments; the art form of creating
investment portfolios.
- Far
more interesting, challenging, and rewarding to create, manage, modify, monitor,
maintain and measure unique investment portfolios for individual investors than
going though the tedium of the recitation of investment fundamentals for individual
investments, the investing skills of others, and the 'Morningstar Rating' when
referring to investments such as mutual funds.
- Build
a personal, proprietary investment advising net worth; feel better, do better,
and beat the competition:
- Create
an organized and efficient investment advising and investing environment in which
each investor, regardless of
investment need, knowledge, experience, and the amount of investment capital,
will be honorably, properly, intelligently, and efficiently served consistent
with each investor's investment profile and investment goals, the current market
conditions, and the market outlook; nothing
learned the hard way, do it right the first time, suitable, hopefully timely investments,
full disclosure, and investor informed, economic best interest investing with
specifics and in detail.
- Individual
bonds and equities wrapped in a disciplined portfolio creation and management
environment; the most efficient use of capital direct and undiluted participation
in investment opportunities, lower investment risk because free from flawed packaged
investments and predatory investing strategies, and little or no fees and commissions
constantly leaching from capital.
- Rather
than attempting to predict the short-term oscillations of the markets and investment
prices—something
no one can do on a consistent basis—control
what can be controlled—judgment,
skills, and strategies—to
take control of and to take advantage of the uncontrollable and unpredictable;
the markets and investment prices.
- Build
an investment advising and management model that does not depend (entirely) on
the correct prediction of the direction of the markets and individual investments
(both always help), but more on a business model that anticipates change and the
certainty of the need to change.
- 'I
think I know what is going to happen; however, regardless of what does actually
happen, I am thinking and looking ahead and I am prepared to decide and to act.'
- Create
an almost perfect investment advising and investing environment:
- Use
the best of both worlds; a lot of the old school and a little of the new:
- The
old:
- Investments;
individual bonds and equities and the best names in value mutual funds.
- Investment
selection; fundamentals, earnings, growth, value.
- Management
and timing; what, when, why, how, how much, and what if.
- Investment
portfolios; unique, structurally sound, competitive.
- Advisor/Investor;
knowledge, judgment, skill, discipline.
- The
new:
- Investing
software; to manage, control, and process the old.
- I
needed investment advising, portfolio management bulldozers to create and to control
almost perfect investment portfolios consistent with investor investment
profiles:
- I needed
the ability to create detailed investment plans; where you are trying to go.
-
I needed the ability to create portfolios for clients with the client present;
how you are going to get there.
-
No cute, current fad investing marketing toolssuch as Monte Carlo Analysis,
MPT, and Efficient Frontier Analysisto create the illusion that I knew what
I was doing.
- In
effect, doing nothing more than 'bluff' (poker, OK, investing no) my way
through an 'investment selling' moment, not an 'investment advising'
process.
- Not
as a "back office" accounting software program, though it accounts for every penny
(leave that to the custodians and the accountants), but rather as "front office"
investment advising tools and client communication software programs.
- To
see the logic of the build, my plan and strategies, and the possible reasons for
change in the future.
- Starting
with cash only or already having some investments.
- Do
it all in an instant.
- Orchestrate
a universe of different portfolios easily.
-
I needed the ability to measure performance; if it is measured, it will get
done.
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